Research Catalog

The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable

Title
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Author
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960-
Publication
New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks, ©2010.
Supplementary Content
  • Contributor biographical information
  • Publisher description

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TextUse in library JBD 11-333Schwarzman Building M2 - General Research Room 315

Details

Description
xxxiii, 444 pages : illustrations; 21 cm
Summary
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
Subjects
Note
  • "Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007"--Title page verso.
Bibliography (note)
  • Includes bibliographical references (pages 401-429) and index.
Contents
Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.
Call Number
JBD 11-333
ISBN
  • 081297381X
  • 9780812973815
LCCN
2010292618
OCLC
213400968
Author
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960-
Title
The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Imprint
New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks, ©2010.
Edition
2nd ed., Random trade pbk. ed.
Type of Content
text
Type of Medium
unmediated
Type of Carrier
volume
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references (pages 401-429) and index.
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Sample text
Contributor biographical information
Publisher description
Research Call Number
JBD 11-333
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